Why is Trump the most likely candidate in the US elections despite the problems in court? the topic

With less than a year remaining until the US presidential elections, and awaiting the primaries, two candidates are competing in the lead to run for the position of president of the country for the next four years: the current Democratic candidate, Joe Biden. , and former incumbent Republican Donald Trump.

Biden has good economic numbers and unemployment is at its lowest levels in history. Trump, on the other hand, is an openly anti-democratic candidate, faces legal action, and ended up staying in the race on the Supreme Court.

“Inflation fell from 9% to 3.1%, and now there are indications, in the last quarter, that it should reach 2.5%, which is the basic target. Unemployment remains at its lowest level in history, at 3.7%, the lowest level,” Goga adds about Biden administration: “GDP will grow and grow in a healthy way.”

What weighs heavily on Biden, first, is his age (81 years). “Not exactly the numbers, but the way it is perceived as fragile,” Goga explains. […] There is also the “humiliating” way Americans left Afghanistan during the Biden administration, in Goga's words.

More recently, there has been a weakening of Biden among younger voters.

“Trump is the favorite to win the election, if he were a candidate. If it were today, he would be elected president of the United States. It's just that over the course of a year, there's always a lot of uncertainty about what could happen.” “And there have actually been episodes of candidates who were weakened and were able to reverse that and end up winning the election.”

Trump is 77 years old, but he shows a lot of energy. He is a charismatic character, “whether you like him or not,” Goga explains.

“Trump, just like the current president of Brazil, Lula, and the former president, Jair Bolsonaro, and like some other politicians around the world… People are Trump supporters, and they really like the character of Donald Trump. You don't know.” There are no “Biden supporters.” [Trump] It goes beyond the Republican Party. Trumpism may be bigger today than the Republican Party.”

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The O Assunto podcast is produced by: Monica Mariotti, Amanda Pollato, Gabriel de Campos, Luiz Felipe Silva, Thiago Kaczorowski, Nayara Fernandez. Presented by: Natusa Neri. Isabelle Cita and Carole Laurencetti also collaborated in this episode.

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