:strip_icc()/i.s3.glbimg.com/v1/AUTH_da025474c0c44edd99332dddb09cabe8/internal_photos/bs/2024/E/S/FOGJAKQHGcAXk5vTMaAQ/108984394-topshot-people-cast-their-in-person-early-ballot-for-the-2024-general-election-at-th.jpg "What is early voting about voting on November 5th?")
In another tough election, polls are trying to create a scenario that is closer to reality. The protagonists of this race are Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump. See what major polls indicate about the outcome of the 2024 US elections.
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Polls show voting intention
Recent research Fox News Donald Trump is ahead, but Kamala Harris is winning. The same survey shows the technical tie within the margin of error in four states.
- Arizona: Kamala Harris with 50% to Trump’s 49%
- North Carolina: Trump 50% to Kamala’s 49%
- Georgia: Kamala with 50% to Trump’s 48%
- Nevada: Kamala with 50% to Trump’s 48%
already agency survey Reuters And the Ipsos Institute points to a greater advantage for Kamala than Trump. According to the data collected, the intention to vote for the Democratic candidate is 45% and the Republican is 41%.
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Five thirty eightOne of the sites that analyzes these polls indicates that Kamala has been leading the presidential race for a month. Aggregator has a similar scenario Real clear politics (RPC), which shows a 1.5 percentage point advantage for Democrats, albeit within the margin of error.
Which states are decisive in the 2024 US election?
Both voting intention surveys and local voting history help us understand which states will be decisive in the 2024 US elections.
Georgia, for example, has had a strong Republican presence for decades. But in the last election, Biden became the first Democrat to win the state in 30 years. Now, a Fox News poll shows the race is within the margin of error.
Political experts point out that states like Arizona, North Carolina, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are decisive for the dispute.
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