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According to a New York Times poll, the former president may win the elections based on the results of “swing states.”
Donald Trump numerically leads voting intentions in 5 of the 6 historically winnable states for both Republicans and Democrats in the United States.
In another photo, current President Joe Biden appears in the foreground. The data is from seek Electoral The New York Times With the Siena College Released this Sunday (November 5, 2023).
These concerned countries are the so-called Swing states, which historically does not have a Democratic or Republican majority. It is considered crucial to the electoral aspirations of Trump and Biden.
The former president enjoys the largest lead in the state of Nevada, where he received 52% of voting intentions compared to 41% for Biden. In Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania, the advantages are only numerical. If margins of error, which range from 4.4 to 4.8 percentage points, are taken into account, there is a technical break-even.
Wisconsin is the only state where residents favor Biden: 47% x 45%. On average, in the six swing states, Trump gets 48% of the vote, and Biden gets 44%.
Joe Biden won all six states analyzed by the poll in the 2020 presidential election. If the poll results are confirmed in 2024, he may lose the race for a second term in the White House.
The largest percentage of people who chose not to vote for the current president said that his government’s policies harm them.
The Democrat has a slight favoritism of 1 percentage point among Hispanic and Latino voters, as well as those under 30. The advantage in urban areas is twice as small as Trump’s in rural areas of the United States.
Regarding temperament, 46% of voters said that Biden has the right temperament to be president. It’s not very low compared to Trump’s 43%.
How the Power360 It was reported in September that Biden’s disapproval reached its highest levels since his inauguration in 2021. The president will turn 81 on November 20 and will become the oldest head of state in the United States.
Trump (77 years old) hopes to defeat the person who removed him from power in the 2020 elections.
methodology
Search the The New York Times com Siena College interviewed 3,662 registered voters by phone in 6 states from October 22 to November 3, 2023. The margin of error ranges from 4.4 to 4.8 percentage points for each state. In total score, it is 1.8 p
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