Science and Technology – Mankind has 6 years left: emissions have peaked and Earth is going straight into an infernal trap

Although humanity has been trying to reduce greenhouse gas emissions for decades, they are on the rise: annually they are equivalent to 54 billion tons of carbon dioxide. Conversation.

Since the late 19th century, humanity has already caused the Earth’s surface to warm by 1.14°C, and that’s not the limit. The researchers note that the warming is only increasing, and at an unprecedented rate – 0.2 degrees Celsius per decade. Monitoring results show that the highest temperatures are observed on Earth, rising twice as fast. It should be noted that it is these temperatures that are associated with the record heat that we are witnessing, as well as widespread forest fires.

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Scientists note that at the rate at which humanity is moving today, we have only 6 years before specific critical emission levels reach their limits. Note that we are talking about a carbon balance, which would keep the global increase in average temperature at 1.5°C – in fact, today’s “allowable stock” of emissions is only 250 billion tons.

So says an article by Piers Forster, Professor of Physical Climate Change and Director of the Priestley International Climate Center at the University of Leeds, which he has brought together with nearly fifty colleagues from around the world. In their study, the scientists used data on changes in the amount of emissions, temperature, and energy flows in the Earth system.

The researchers believe that humanity should be informed of the pace at which the planet is approaching global warming and what we can do to keep the average global temperature increase at 1.5°C.

In the new report, scientists have collected data on all greenhouse gas emissions and their changes during the epidemic since 2019. The results of the analysis show that in recent years, greenhouse gas emissions have reached a record level, while worldwide pollution, on the contrary, has increased. dropped. The problem is that the combination of these trends will inevitably lead to a warming climate. Researchers estimate that the rate is now at an all-time high of more than 0.2°C per decade.

Forster also notes that he and his colleagues plan to release these reports annually, which should help humanity better influence the amount of emissions and climate change. Furthermore, in future work, the scientists also plan to expand the community and include observations of extreme weather events, including heat waves, floods, and wildfires, in the reports.

previously to focus He wrote that El Niño had officially begun and the consequences looked horrific.