Reuters/Ipsos Voting Intent Survey has Kamala at 44%, and Trump at 42% US Elections 2024

A Reuters/Ipsos poll of voting intentions released this Tuesday (23) shows Kamala Harris as the favorite to run for Vice President of the United States and the Democratic Party nominee. Technically bound With Republican Donald Trump. Kamala is at 44% and Trump at 42%.

The poll’s margin of error is 3 percentage points, meaning the situation represents a technical tie. The survey was conducted between Monday and Tuesday — after Joe Biden dropped out of the presidential race — and interviewed 1,241 adults across the United States, including 1,018 voters.

The poll comes as Kamala has won the necessary number of delegates to win the Democratic nomination in the election, according to an Associated Press poll.

Harris and Trump tied at 44% in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted July 15 and 16, and Trump led by one percentage point in the July 1 and 2 poll.

Although national polls provide important signals of American support for political candidates, only a handful of contested states typically represent the size of the US Electoral College, which determines who wins a presidential election.

A recent poll showed that 56% of registered voters agreed with the statement that Harris, 59, is “mentally sharp and able to handle challenges,” compared with 49% who said the same for Trump, 78. Only 22% of voters rated Biden this way — a feature that was one of the factors determining the pressure on the president to resign in the election race.

In the poll, voters were given a hypothetical ballot that featured independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Harris led Trump 42% to 38%, a lead outside the margin of error. Kennedy, who is favored by 8% of voters in the polls, has yet to qualify for the ballot in several states ahead of the Nov. 5 election.

Biden Post-Dropout Survey

A poll by Morning Consult after Joe Biden dropped out of the race shows Vice President of the United States and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris technically tied with Republican Donald Trump. Trump has 47%, Kamala 45%.

The study’s margin of error is 3 percentage pointsThis means that Trump’s percentage could fluctuate between 44% and 50%, and Kamala’s between 42% and 48%.

Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee who is the most likely of the names tested in the survey to defeat Trump in a head-to-head race. Other strong names in the party — Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer — will get 39% of the vote to Trump’s 47% — all three Democrats have already announced their support for Kamala.

As per morning advice, Harris is ahead of Biden in the race against Trump: The president had a six percentage point disadvantage relative to the Republican Party; Kamala has a two point handicap.

The survey also showed 65% of Democratic voters support Kamala Harris to lead the party’s ticket over Biden. According to the company, after the first presidential debate, the number of supporters of this issue doubled compared to the end of last month.

63% of voters said Biden should serve out his term, and 30% said he should resign now.