Omicron cases are declining in the east coast of the United Kingdom and the United States; Hospitalization remains a concern – international

New York – if progress Ô Micron variant of coronavirus we United State and mainly in United kingdom Signs of a slowdown have begun to appear in recent days, with the curve of known cases falling sharply on British soil and on the US East Coast.

This phenomenon is similar to Occurred in South Africa at the beginning of the yearWhere the new strain was recorded for the first time, and indicates that the infection curve for this version of the virus is faster than its predecessors.

In the United States, the decline in the volume of cases was most severe on the East Coast, particularly in New York and New Jersey, where the virus strain first arrived. According to the survey The New York TimesOn January 9, the moving average of cases in New York State was 74,000. Eight days later, that number became 48000, 35% decrease.

With its continental dimensions, the United States has omicron outbreaks in various stages at the same time in several states, preventing national numbers from declining more sharply. The countries that the virus reached later will continue to suffer from Micron much longer.

In the UK, with a fifth of the US population, the decline in infections is more consistent across the country. Of the 182,000 cases in the moving average on January 5th, the country had 98,000 cases on the 17th – 46% decrease.

Other European countries, where the new version of the virus arrived in mid-December, such as Spain, France and Italy, are approaching peak infections, according to mathematical models.

Hospital treatment anxiety

Despite the decline in the United Kingdom and the United States, health authorities in both countries indicate that the number of infected remains dangerously high and that hospitals have not yet followed up on the decline in cases, which should take another two weeks. Another caveat is that herd immunity to micron is still far from occurring, whether through vaccination or natural infection. The average number of Americans hospitalized with the coronavirus is 157,000, up 54% in two weeks.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the Biden administration’s chief infectious disease expert, was asked Monday at the World Economic Forum if that could happen as late as 2022. “I hope that’s the case,” he said, but it would only be if. We don’t get another variant that evades the immune response.”

According to Fauci, it is still impossible to trace the evolution of the epidemic. He said, “The answer: We don’t know.”

William Hanage, an epidemiologist at Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, said that while it is too early to know how this record wave will shape the epidemic, it will likely have some impact.

“We expect the new waves to be smoother. This is not ‘herd immunity’, because epidemics would be possible. However, its consequences would be much less serious.”/ right Now