Grêmio needs a sequel he never had to escape the second division

NS 2-2 tied with Flamengo, at home, may have been appreciated by Syndicate Because of the team’s reaction after conceding two goals, but he did not help in the fight to try to escape relegation in Brazilian. exactly the contrary. The result, in a late second-round match, made more than necessary a string of victories that the team had yet to achieve in the current tournament. Currently, dropping points to stay out of Z4 makes Rio Grande do Sul need 10 points in the final four games.

This is it Syndicate He would need to win three matches and tie the fourth duel. The team will face Bahia (away) and Sao Paulo (at home), Corinthians (out) and Atletico MG (a house).

Today, Grêmio has 36 points and is 18th in the standings. The distance to the first team outside the relegation zone is four points. Juventud, ranked 16th with 40 points, is a math beacon of achievement.

According to the Department of Mathematics and Statistics of the UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais), the safest score for escape from relegation – at the moment – is 46 points. With 45 points, teams will have a 17% chance of relegating to the second division.

“It is important for us to know what we will need, but in every round there is a surprise. I don’t know if in the weekend tour we will have the same panorama as this one. But nothing will take away this need to add nine, 10 or even seven ( points). What the history of the tournament shows, and this year the score was higher, another nine (points) are needed. Let’s look for 12, not nine,” said Wagner Mancini, Grêmio coach after the match with Flamengo.

The problem is that Grêmio hasn’t got nine points in three straight games. With Filippao, there were two streaks of two victories. Mancini set the same record recently, leading the team in victories against him Red Bull Bragantino NS Chapecoense.

Grêmio’s idea has always been to take advantage of Flamengo’s reserve team, on the eve of the cup final EditorsTo modify an unpublished sequence. Add points and gain morale for the decisive tournament in a row. Now the math is getting more difficult.

Grêmio returns to the field against Bahia, on Friday (26), at 19:00 (GMT), in a duel against a direct competitor in the fight against relegation. Perino and Jonata Robert, dismissed, and Lucas Silva, who received the third yellow card, are eliminated from the match. Kahneman, who has groin pain, will be re-evaluated after going low in the last minute against Flamengo.