a Atlético MG He landed early Monday in Lima, Peru, to face Alianza Lima, this Tuesday, at 9pm (Brasilia time) for the fifth round of Group G of the Libertadores.
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Gallo is second in the table with six points, behind Atlético PR who has seven (click here to check the table). With two matches remaining in the group stage, what explains Atlético’s qualification to the last 16?
The rooster relies on its own strength to advance to the next stage. In the event that they beat Alianza Lima and Libertad, the Alvinegro team will add 12 points, and may even qualify in first place in the group, in the event that Atlético-PR falters in the final rounds.
Hurricane, unlike Atlético, plays the last two rounds, against the same opponents as Gallo, but plays at home. The Minas Gerais side face their two remaining matches away from Belo Horizonte.
The victory over Alianza Lima, this Tuesday, with a possible win for Atlético PR over Libertad, keeps Gallo in second place, and opens up a three-point lead for third place. In this scenario, Gallo will reach the final round relying only on a draw with Libertad in Paraguay.
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In the event of a tie between Atlético PR and Libertad and Alfinegra winning in Lima, Gallo could reach the lead of the group and open up a two-point lead to finish third. If Gallo and Libertad win, the club from Minas Gerais can also top Group G, depending on goal difference.
And if you don’t win?
A slump against Alianza Lima (either a draw or defeat) could cost Atlético second place in the group, if Libertad beats Atlético PR, at Arena da Baixada. The Paraguayan team has the same six points as Atlético and is third. Gallo ranks second on goal difference (1 vs. 0 for the Paraguayan team).
Still in the scenario of defeating Atlética and if Libertad wins Atlético-PR, the Minas Gerais team will need to defeat the Paraguayan team in the last round and still hope to achieve a stumbling block against Alianza Lima in Arena da Baixada (draw or defeat).
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