A poll shows the Mexican presidential race is getting a little closer, but Sheinbaum is still far ahead

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Mexico City (Reuters) – The race for Mexico’s president has become a bit tighter, but former Mexico City mayor and ruling party candidate Claudia Sheinbaum still has double the votes of her main rival, a poll showed on Monday.

An opinion poll conducted by the Buendia and Márquez Institute and commissioned by the newspaper El Universal between 17 and 22 November among 1,000 Mexicans showed that Sheinbaum – who represents the leftist National Renewal Movement – would receive 48% of the votes, compared to 48% of the votes. 24% for Xochitl Galvez.

The opposition represents a coalition of three parties, ranging from center-left to center-right. Samuel Garcia, who is running for another center-left party, the Citizens’ Movement, will receive 8% of the vote. One in five respondents said they would not prefer to hold the election on June 2, 2024.

Another poll published in early October showed Sheinbaum with 50% of the vote, to Galvez’s 20%, although that poll included a fourth, centre-right candidate, who was not included this time.

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Sheinbaum has the support of current President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, whose approval ratings remain high. Mexican law allows presidents to serve only one six-year term. “With the entry of Samuel García as the sole candidate of the Communist Party, the presidential ballot is practically decided,” Buendia and Márquez president Jorge Buendia commented to El Universal newspaper.

He said Sheinbaum is ahead in terms of image recognition and positive public opinion, and that the latter factor is the main challenge facing his rival: “The window of opportunity for candidates is the uninformed population. They are the segment that can most influence campaigns.”